UFC FN151 Betting Tips & Plays
View the Stakes for UFC FN151 below:
Shane Burgos Free Breakdown
At 28 years of age, Burgos is coming into his prime as he takes on the veteran Cub Swanson. He will have a significant advantage benefit of 5.5 inches and is overall a considerably larger featherweight. At the pocket Burgos is vastly more specialized with crisp combinations and dangerous power. He comes from a good camp but his main weakness appears to be shield, where he has left himself exposed to strikes and been hurt in several recent fights.
Swanson is a far more unorthadox and wild fighter and his personality looks to fight against more technical competition. He’s on a significant losing streak where he has appeared flat and vulnerable in each fight. It appears Cub is really on a a downturn which is not surprising given his era in a division where speed is king. It must be noted that many of Cub’s losses have begun to top 10 resistance, but it is his lack of competitiveness which raise a red flag.
This battle should be entertaining with the two men willing to stand and trade. In the unlikely event that Swanson can reignite his early career performances this could be a close battle, but we expect to find a falling veteran who can not keep up with the more technical young talent. Back Burgos for the win , probably from the distance.Brad Katona Breakdown
Katona, winner of TUF and the hometown fighter is taking on the relentless Merab Dvalishvili. Katona has considerably better striking than his opponent and holds a BJJ blackbelt. In his profession he hasn’t shown the best initial takedown defense but he uses his grappling talents to remain dangerous and make scrambles. Thus far he has shown a strong ability to contact his feet. Dvalishvili is basic standing, largely throwing his hand to set up level changes. He averages a absurd quantity of takedown attempts each struggle, compounded by the fact that he struggles to maintain top position for long periods.
In this struggle it is likely Dvalishvili does property takedowns but Katona has plenty of skills to avoid getting stuck on his spine. More time on the toes for Katona means he will be in control, landing hurt and amassing rounds. This should be a close fight where the value lies with the neighborhood underdog.
Bet = Katona in 2.65 (+165) odds. Risk 2 Units to win 3.30 Units.
Nordine Taleb Breakdown
Kyle Prepolec is coming into this fight on short notice and united with the fact he is fighting up a division his chances look slim. Taleb is a well rounded fighter who has a significant edge in every area of the battle. On the feet he’s defensively sound and struggles long with his jab, straight punches and leg kicks to set the distance. Prepolec likes to get in near but leaves himself open when entering the pocket. His strikes are he ought to be receptive to counters in Taleb. Size will also be a large factor in which Prepolec has shown a tendency to escape out from the grappling section by far smaller and less talented fighters than Taleb. This is likely his safest route to victory where he likely dominates to set up a finish. On short notice introduction there are simply too many barriers to conquer and whilst the odds are short, this looks to be an easy win.
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